How I think about cryptocurrency investing

Don't buy just for profit; buy because you support the project

Also published at: Substack




First of all, I'm not an investment advisor.

Nothing I write here should be construed as financial advice.

Cryptocurrencies are experimental technology, and highly volatile (as in, 50 - 80% swings in a single day).

There are many scams/con artists/incompetent dreamers. If you invest, you could easily lose all of your money.

I'm simply sharing what I think, in the hopes that it will provide of use to some of you.

As I see it, when you invest, you're investing in a story about the future. In the case of Bitcoin, the story is:

"Bitcoin, a decentralized, censorship-resistant, inflation-proof electronic currency will displace fiat currencies".


By investing in Bitcoin, you're both making a bet on that story coming true, and also helping to make it happen, by creating a market for Bitcoin.

Since investing is a vote for the continued existence of services / products offered by a company, I try to "vote" for companies whose product I like and admire. (Lot's of companies profit by offering shoddy products, or engaging in other forms of evil, parasitic behavior.)

Features I like to see in a company include:

For cryptocurrencies in particular, I also look for cryptocurrencies that are:

IMO, Bitcoin isn't a good investment right now because the network has been captured by interests who retard / delay important on-chain features (privacy, TPS, fees) in order to profit from their second layer services.

Many BTC supporters have formed an informal cult ("maximalism") that acts like BTC is the end all and be all of cryptocurrency. BTC development has stagnated as a result.

Ethereum seems much more promising, and the Ethereum team's lead, Vitalik Butarin, has done a much better job at addressing Ethereum's flaws (though I think switching to Proof of Stake is a gamble). However, the ETH network is currently expensive, and sluggish to use.

In addition, both BTC and ETH have had enormous run-ups recently, driven by irrational exuberance, rather than careful analysis.

Fortunately, there are many other projects that have not yet received the same degree of attention as ETH and BTC. Some of the other coins I like include:

Promising, but I'm less confident in the projects:

Not private/fungible, but doing something interesting:

So, my answer to the question "What is the best cryptocurrency to buy today?" would be: "It depends". It depends on what cryptocurrencies you want to help manifest into the world, and which stories you want to believe.

Addendum:

The easiest way to purchase crypto is to ask your crypto owning friends if they'll sell you some.

Next would be to set up a Coinbase account, and buy through them. However, they will require the same information as a bank, and they will report your trades / holdings to the IRS.

The most private way would be to buy with fiat via Bisq or Localmonero.

Once you have a commonly used crypto, you can exchange it for other cryptos you want on decentralized exchanges like Uniswap or automated exchange services like Shapeshift, Morphtoken or Changenow.io.