Can AI Doomers and AI Accelerationists cooperate?

How social policy bonds can incentivize peaceful co-existence with AI's.

Also published at: Substack

Can doomers and accelerationists collaborate?

After all, we share common goals.

I want to live in a world in which humans and AIs live peacefully and safely with each other.

I don’t want to be killed by a coldhearted murderbot.

But I don’t think trying to stifle the development of AI via a totalitarian global government is a good means to achieve that end.

I don’t want the government to embed spyware and killswitches into every computer chip.

And risking nuclear war by threatening rocket attacks against dissident data centers seems positively insane.

Likewise, I presume doomers don’t want everyone to die of disease or aging because the AIs that might have found effective cures were throttled.

What if we financially incentivize our common ends: humans living long, happy, and healthy lives in peace with AIs?

We can do that via social policy bonds.

Social policy bonds are non-interest-bearing bonds, redeemable for a fixed sum only when a targeted social objective has been achieved.

The bonds would be backed by government or private bodies, auctioned on the open market, and freely tradable at all times.

For example, I propose how “life bonds“ could be used to incentivize the development of tech that increases the healthspan of humans by 500 years:

Doomers and accelerationists alike should both support life bonds.

After all, humans won’t achieve 500-year lifespans if AIs wipe out humanity first.

Nor will we achieve 500-year lifespans if bad regulations stifle the development of longevity medicine.

As I see it, five technologies need to be combined to create a “life bond” market:

  1. Social policy bonds – bond marketplace to incentivize solutions to social problems. [Horesh, 2025]

  2. Dominant assurance contracts – dominant assurance contract structure incentivizes contributing rather than free riding. [Tabarrok, 2017], [Tabarrok, 2021]

  3. Darkfi anonymous collaboration toolkit – protects identities of developers, bond holders, and bond backers from government persecution. [Darkfi, 2025]

  4. Chainlink decentralized oracle network – decides if the terms of social policy bonds have been met. [Chainlink, 2025]

  5. Arweave data storage network – stores contracts (for centuries if necessary). [Arweave, 2025]

So far, none of the above technologies has been combined to create a social policy bond market. Here are some of the projects that have experimented with dominant assurance contracts:

  1. EnsureDone.com – Experimental dominant assurance contract platform. [Moyamo, 2023]

  2. Spartacus.app – Startup crowdfunding app that makes use of dominant assurance contracts. [Braunstein, 2024]

If you’d like to work on a social policy bond market with me, please join my Signal group, libertygardeners .

References

  1. Braunstein, J. (2024). https://spartacus.app

  1. Chainlink Foundation. (2025). Chainlink: The industry-standard oracle platform. https://chain.link/

  2. DarkFi. (n.d.). DarkFi – Manifesto. https://dark.fi/manifesto.html

  3. Horesh, R. (2025). Social policy bonds. https://socialgoals.com/

  4. Moyamo. (2023, October 26). The economics of the asteroid deflection problem (dominant assurance contracts). LessWrong. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CwgHX9tbfASqxjpsc/the-economics-of-the-asteroid-deflection-problem-dominant

  5. Tabarrok, A. (2017, June 7). Making markets work better: Dominant assurance contracts and some other helpful ideas. Cato Unbound. https://www.cato-unbound.org/2017/06/07/alex-tabarrok/making-markets-work-better-dominant-assurance-contracts-some-other-helpful/

  6. Tabarrok, A. (2021, May 16). Dominant assurance contracts. Foresight Institute. https://foresight.org/resource/dominant-assurance-contracts-alex-tabarrok-george-mason-university/