“Cities that responded rapidly and strongly to the 1918 influenza…

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https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2020/03/what-worked-in-1918-1919.html
“Cities that responded rapidly and strongly to the 1918 influenza outbreak had a quarter of the death rate of cities that responded most slowly. Coronavirus might be a lot less bad than expected. But rapid and serious response is still a good idea.”