---
title: "Timeline photos > Who do you think the @LPNational should nominate…"
date: 2024-05-14
source: facebook
type: Archer T. Ships added a new photo.
---

# Timeline photos > Who do you think the @LPNational should nominate…

*May 14, 2024 · Facebook*

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![](img/2024-05-14-fb-003-img01.webp){style="max-width:100%; margin:1em 0"}
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\> Who do you think the \@LPNational should nominate for president, and why?\
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\"If you're reading this, it's likely because you've proposed voting for a Libertarian Party candidate or running a Libertarian Party campaign anywhere outside of New Hampshire.\
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Unfortunately, your odds of getting struck by lightning are much better than the odds your vote determines the outcome of the US presidential election.\
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\"Nate Silver, and Aaron Edlin used the 2008 presidential election (Obama-McCain) to evaluate what probability the average American could have reasonable formed that he could elect the president, i.e., that without his vote another president would be elected. It was at most 1 in 10,000,000 depending on locations, and 1 in 60,000,000 million on average over the United States. (See "What Is the Probability Your Vote Will Make a Difference," Economic Inquiry 50:2 \[April 2012\], 321-326.)\"\
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Running for office outside of New Hampshire will also waste your time and money.\
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After 50 years of effort, the LP does not show signs of working, by any metric.\
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No Libertarian has received more than \~3% of the Presidential vote.\
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Nor has a single Libertarian been elected to Congress, a Governorship, or the Mayoral office of any populous city.\
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The Libertarian Party squanders most of its meagre time and money just getting on the ballot.\"\
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\[Link to full essay in comment.\]\
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#archerpolitics\
#archerfsp\
#freestateproject\
#freeprivatecities
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