How should you vote this year? Here are my thoughts.
In general, it's a good idea to minimize harm by advocating for the least worst option.
If you're stranded on an island full of cannibals, try to join the tribe that eats less meat.
However, keep in mind that the odds that your vote will affect the outcome of a national election are infinitesimal:
https://econlib.org/sorry-your-vote-doesnt-count
People who live in swing states have a somewhat higher probability of influencing the outcome, though it's still tiny:
https://vox.com/today-explained-podcast/378112/battleground-states-election-2024-trump-harris
So if you live in a swing state, vote for Trump. (In my view, Harris is no better than Trump on any issue, and often worse.)
If you live in a non-swing state (such as New Hampshire), vote for Chase Oliver.
The more votes libertarians get, the more mainstream politicians will be forced to pander to them to try to swing them back into their camps.
But that's a marginal play. As long as most voters are ignorant, irrational authoritarians, politicians will pander to them with ignorant, irrational, authoritarian policies.
The only way libertarians will win substantial power is to concentrate our forces such that we're the majority of the population.
So if you're a libertarian not content with tiny scraps of power at the margin, move to New Hampshire:
https://archerships.substack.com/p/join-the-chain-melters
In general, it's a good idea to minimize harm by advocating for the least worst option.
If you're stranded on an island full of cannibals, try to join the tribe that eats less meat.
However, keep in mind that the odds that your vote will affect the outcome of a national election are infinitesimal:
https://econlib.org/sorry-your-vote-doesnt-count
People who live in swing states have a somewhat higher probability of influencing the outcome, though it's still tiny:
https://vox.com/today-explained-podcast/378112/battleground-states-election-2024-trump-harris
So if you live in a swing state, vote for Trump. (In my view, Harris is no better than Trump on any issue, and often worse.)
If you live in a non-swing state (such as New Hampshire), vote for Chase Oliver.
The more votes libertarians get, the more mainstream politicians will be forced to pander to them to try to swing them back into their camps.
But that's a marginal play. As long as most voters are ignorant, irrational authoritarians, politicians will pander to them with ignorant, irrational, authoritarian policies.
The only way libertarians will win substantial power is to concentrate our forces such that we're the majority of the population.
So if you're a libertarian not content with tiny scraps of power at the margin, move to New Hampshire:
https://archerships.substack.com/p/join-the-chain-melters