William Kiely It's all just a gut feeling, but I would put the...

April 28, 2023 at 5:29 PM  ·  Comment — Archer T. Ships replied to William Kiely's comment.  ·  View on Facebook  ·  Markdown source

William Kiely It's all just a gut feeling, but I would put the probability that AGI will kill all humans in the next 100 years at < 1%. I would put the probability of most currently living humans dying of aging absent AGI in the next 100 years at around 90%. I think if benevolent AGI is allowed, it will reduce the number of deaths from aging in the next 100 years by 50% - 80%. I also think AGI's will help human intelligences upload into much more robust robot bodies / synthetic brains. In other words, I think OG humans will make up a decreasing share of intelligent life.