> Who do you think the @LPNational should nominate for president, and why?
"If you’re reading this, it’s likely because you’ve proposed voting for a Libertarian Party candidate or running a Libertarian Party campaign anywhere outside of New Hampshire.
Unfortunately, your odds of getting struck by lightning are much better than the odds your vote determines the outcome of the US presidential election.
"Nate Silver, and Aaron Edlin used the 2008 presidential election (Obama-McCain) to evaluate what probability the average American could have reasonable formed that he could elect the president, i.e., that without his vote another president would be elected. It was at most 1 in 10,000,000 depending on locations, and 1 in 60,000,000 million on average over the United States. (See “What Is the Probability Your Vote Will Make a Difference,” Economic Inquiry 50:2 [April 2012], 321-326.)"
Running for office outside of New Hampshire will also waste your time and money.
After 50 years of effort, the LP does not show signs of working, by any metric.
No Libertarian has received more than ~3% of the Presidential vote.
Nor has a single Libertarian been elected to Congress, a Governorship, or the Mayoral office of any populous city.
The Libertarian Party squanders most of its meagre time and money just getting on the ballot."
[Link to full essay in comment.]
#archerpolitics
#archerfsp
#freestateproject
#freeprivatecities
"If you’re reading this, it’s likely because you’ve proposed voting for a Libertarian Party candidate or running a Libertarian Party campaign anywhere outside of New Hampshire.
Unfortunately, your odds of getting struck by lightning are much better than the odds your vote determines the outcome of the US presidential election.
"Nate Silver, and Aaron Edlin used the 2008 presidential election (Obama-McCain) to evaluate what probability the average American could have reasonable formed that he could elect the president, i.e., that without his vote another president would be elected. It was at most 1 in 10,000,000 depending on locations, and 1 in 60,000,000 million on average over the United States. (See “What Is the Probability Your Vote Will Make a Difference,” Economic Inquiry 50:2 [April 2012], 321-326.)"
Running for office outside of New Hampshire will also waste your time and money.
After 50 years of effort, the LP does not show signs of working, by any metric.
No Libertarian has received more than ~3% of the Presidential vote.
Nor has a single Libertarian been elected to Congress, a Governorship, or the Mayoral office of any populous city.
The Libertarian Party squanders most of its meagre time and money just getting on the ballot."
[Link to full essay in comment.]
#archerpolitics
#archerfsp
#freestateproject
#freeprivatecities